Month: January 2008
JTC REIT – BT
All may gain if Goodman bags JTC Reit
AUSTRALIA’S Goodman group is reportedly expected to clinch the job of being the manager of a proposed real estate investment trust that will hold about S$1.6 billion of industrial properties to be divested by JTC Corp. No official announcements have been made so far.
Market watchers expect Goodman to exit an existing business in Singapore – its 40 per cent stake in Ascendas-MGM Funds Management, the manager of Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (A-Reit). JTC’s subsidiary Ascendas holds the remaining 60 per cent.
Some industry players suggest that giving up its stake in the A-Reit manager was probably a condition JTC laid down for Goodman if it wants to manage the new Reit.
That makes sense. For one, it removes conflict of interest. Goodman can’t be having an interest in two Singapore industrial Reit managers who may compete for the same assets and tenants.
For Goodman, instead of having to divide its energies between managing two Reits in Singapore, it may be better to focus on just one Reit.
Another compelling reason for it to choose to manage JTC’s impending Reit and give up its stake in A-Reit’s manager is that Goodman can have full control of the JTC Reit manager, unlike A-Reit, whose Reit management company it controls jointly with JTC subsidiary Ascendas.
JTC may still keep a stake in the impending Reit – perhaps to assuage concerns of some of its tenants that the statutory board’s properties divestment will be accompanied by an increase in their occupation costs. But Goodman will clearly be in the driver’s seat for this new Reit.
Market watchers also expect Goodman to be a sponsor for the new trust, holding a stake of at least 20-30 per cent, in addition to having full ownership of the Reit manager.
That gives Goodman leeway to expand the new Reit as it deems best. The new Reit can ride on the Goodman group’s substantial clout – the group owns, develops and manages industrial and business space globally and has total assets of A$37 billion (S$46.5 billion) with over 700 properties under management. In Asia too, Goodman has a substantial presence in China, Hong Kong and Japan.
Goodman’s new Singapore Reit will be able to mine Goodman’s huge customer base for tenants for its existing and future properties as they expand across Asia. Goodman could also open the door for the Reit to acquire assets in the region.
These are some of the reasons why it makes sense for Goodman to choose sole control of the new Reit manager over continuing joint control of the A-Reit manager.
Its partner in the A-Reit manager, Ascendas, too may feel freer to grow the trust after Goodman leaves.
Since its listing on the Singapore Exchange in November 2002, A-Reit has focused exclusively on Singapore. No doubt its asset size has grown impressively – from an initial portfolio of eight properties worth S$607 million at the time of listing to 78 properties totalling S$3.3 billion as at Sept 30, 2007. But eventually, relying exclusively on the home market limits A-Reit’s expansion prospects.
Industry insiders say that A-Reit has never expanded overseas because of an understanding between Ascendas and Macquarie-Goodman (Macquarie and Goodman parted ways about 18 months ago although a name change to just ‘Goodman’ was effected only last year) that A-Reit will not venture overseas, where both Goodman and, at the time, Macquarie, have considerable interests. In a nutshell, it was to avoid conflict among the three parties overseas. Ascendas may have agreed to such conditions because back then, it needed to ride on Macquarie-Goodman’s brand name in industrial property funds management. Don’t forget, back in late 2002 when A-Reit was floated, Reits were still relatively novel here.
But five years on, Ascendas has gained considerable property fund management expertise, not only managing A-Reit but setting up property funds holding Indian properties, including the Ascendas India Trust (a-i Trust) which was last year floated as Singapore’s first listed Indian property trust.
Overseas markets
Ascendas also has significant presence in China and South Korea and is fast expanding in Vietnam. Ascendas may well decide to float separate Reits holding assets in various respective overseas markets. Or it may decide to park assets in some overseas markets in A-Reit. This will be an internal strategy Ascendas will have to sort out. But at least A-Reit will no longer be fettered from overseas expansion.
So if Goodman and Ascendas decide to part ways in the A-Reit manager, that may be a good thing, for both parties, as well as for A-Reit itself.
In July last year, JTC said it had shortlisted seven candidates to manage the Reit that will hold assets to be divested by the stat board. JTC is understood to have narrowed down on the final few candidates based partly on their track records and of these, Goodman probably offered the highest value for the assets that JTC will sell to the Reit.
If JTC does eventually pick Goodman to manage the new Reit, it should help smoothen ongoing negotiations on the price Goodman will receive for selling its 40 per cent stake in A-Reit’s manager.
JTC REIT – BT
Goodman Group set to manage JTC Reit
JTC Corporation is set to appoint Australian-listed property and wealth management company Goodman Group to manage its upcoming real estate investment trust (Reit), sources say.
The news follows last month’s report in the Australian Financial Review that Goodman Group beat competitors – including Singapore’s CapitaLand and Mapletree Investments – to become the manager of Singapore government-owned JTC Corporation’s upcoming trust.
Other names in the running included Challenger Financial Services Group and CapitaLand subsidiary Australand, both of which are listed on the Australian stock exchange, the report said.
The report also said that UBS, Goldman Sachs and DBS are in line to underwrite the offer.
Industry players said the Reit’s initial property portfolio is expected to be worth more than $1 billion.
When contacted by BT, JTC said that the selection is still ongoing. JTC said in July 2007 that it would announce the winning manager and underwriter by the end of that year.
‘We are in the process of selecting the Reit manager and we will give updates at the appropriate time,’ said a JTC spokeswoman.
Goodman already has substantial assets in Asia, including a 40 per cent stake in the manager of Singapore-listed Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (A-Reit).
Goodman is looking to expand in the region, market watchers have said. In mid-2007, Macquarie and Goodman ended a partnership that began in 2001. Macquarie paid more than A$730 million (S$922.4 million) to divest its investment in Goodman.
JTC, Singapore’s biggest industrial landlord, said last July that it will divest some $1.4 billion-$1.6 billion worth of assets and focus its attention on strategic developments with a longer payback time.
The bulk of the assets to be sold will be pumped into a Reit, chief executive Ow Foong Pheng told reporters at the time.
JTC also said at the same time that it has short-listed seven Reit managers and would announce the winning manager by the end of 2007. The Reit was scheduled to be listed on the Singapore Exchange (SGX) in the second quarter of this year.
A-Reit, Singapore’s second Reit, was set up by JTC unit Ascendas five years ago. The trust has since expanded by acquiring industrial buildings.
CCT – BT
Market St Car Park may be redeveloped into offices
The total project cost could range from $1 billion to $1.5 billion
CAPITACOMMERCIAL Trust (CCT) has been granted outline planning permission by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) to redevelop Market Street Car Park into an office tower that could cost up to $1.5 billion.
Lynette Leong, chief executive of CCT’s manager CapitaCommercial Trust Management Ltd, said the viability of the project would depend on the development premium to be paid for changing the use of the 58,964 sq ft site from a car park to an office tower.
The premium will depend on the enhancement in land value as assessed by the chief valuer, which CCT expects to be made known by May.
Ms Leong said the outline permission is subject to the payment of 100 per cent of the enhancement in land value, instead of the standard 70 per cent, as well as there being no extension of the present lease, which runs to 2073.
Assuming a land value for 99-year commercial land of $900 psf per gross floor area, and adjusting for the shorter leasehold of the site, CCT estimates the land and development premium to be $800 psf.
Including construction and other costs, the project cost would be $1.25 billion.
But CCT said that depending on the development premium, the total project cost could range from $1 billion to $1.5 billion.
Assuming that necessary approvals are granted, a new office tower with an estimated gross floor area of 850,000 sq ft could be built within 36 or 40 months. Ms Leong said that existing tenants, who only moved into Market Street Car Park in end-2006 after a $14 million renovation, will be given notice soon.
Currently, there are 704 car parking spaces, 28 tenants, and 21,205 sq ft of net lettable area. As at June 1, it was valued at $59 million.
Saying that CCT has no plans to divest the office tower if built, Ms Leong added: ‘When completed, the property would augment the core assets in CCT’s portfolio which currently includes landmark office buildings such as Capital Tower and 6 Battery Road.’
She said she was bullish on the office sector. While she did not reveal estimated yields for the development, she said that it was looking at projected rents of $12-$14 psf per month.
The outline planning consent comes years after CCT parent CapitaLand first mooted plans to redevelop both Market Street Car Park and Golden Shoe Car Park.
It was reported that the URA first rejected redevelopment plans for the car parks as earlier as in the mid-1990s when the properties belonged to the now defunct Pidemco.
Ms Leong said there are currently no plans to redevelop Golden Shoe Car Park, although it has also applied for a change of use for the site.
CCT – CIMB
Market Street Carpark approved for conversion
CCT announced yesterday that the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has granted outline planning permission for Market Street Carpark to be rezoned from “transport facility” to “commercial” use. CCT plans to redevelop the carpark into a Grade A office tower, subject to financial viability evaluation.
Potential increase in portfolio. The estimated net floor area of the new development is 640,799 sf, which could add 22% to CCT’s total floor area. The new development would be the second largest property in CCT’s portfolio, after Capital Tower.
Conditions imposed on change in land use. The rezoning of the carpark is subject to CCT paying 100% of the enhancement in land value as assessed by the Chief Valuer, non-extension of the existing land lease (which has 65 years remaining) and restricted use of the redeveloped project for offices only, with activity-generating uses (retail and food and beverage uses) allowed on the first storey.
Potential impact
Potential increase in net property income. With its sizeable plot and location, conversion of the carpark could result in significant net rental income for CCT. Our model assumes that upon completion of the redevelopment, CCT would be able to command a gross rental of S$12 psf per month, representing about one third of our gross revenue estimation for CCT for 2007.
No significant development gains. We estimate that the redevelopment of Market Street Carpark would be worth S$1.65bn, or S$2,575 psf of net lettable area. However, since gains in value would be creamed off by the payment of the development premium, CCT would be effectively purchasing a new development. Furthermore, since CCT is constrained by guidelines for REITs to hold development properties upon completion, it will not be able to enjoy development gains via a sale exit strategy.
Redeveloped project may not be yield-accretive. The redeveloped office tower may not be yield-accretive as the current property yield of Market Street Carpark is high at 9.8% vs. an estimated 5.6% for the proposed office project.
Restrictions on REITs taking on development projects. Property fund guidelines for REITs stipulate that the total contract value of property development undertaken should not exceed 10% of REITs’ deposited properties. CCT’s threshold for development as at 30 Sep 07 was 10% of its deposited property of S$4.7bn, or S$467m. Deducting its prior commitments to projects related to the Malaysia Commercial Development Fund (S$30.5m) and Wilkie Edge (S$182.7m), CCT’s remaining threshold for development projects is only S$254m, or 17% of the development cost of S$1.5bn.
Joint-venture option. One of the options for CCT is to redevelop Market Street Carpark via a JV with a developer, and taking a 17% stake in the development. This is the most straightforward option which would probably see CCT gearing up to fund the development. However, as CCT is constrained by guidelines for REITs to hold the developed property upon completion, it would need some form of buyback mechanism. In view of the significant value of the proposed redevelopment, new units may be issued for the buyback, resulting in some dilution in value.
Business trust option. Another option is development via a business trust stapled to the REIT. The benefit of this option is that the business trust will not be restricted by the 10% cap on development. However, the business trust would be subject to corporate tax.
Valuation and recommendation
Although rezoning the carpark would significantly increase contributions to CCT, it is uncertain if this redevelopment would be yield-accretive, since capark properties are higher-yielding than office properties. In addition, the conversion would likely be completed in 2012, when a large supply of new office space is expected, creating uncertainties in occupancy rates and rentals. Furthermore, the scale of the redevelopment may require complicated JV structures or the addition of a business trust which could potentially dilute distribution from CCT.
Maintain Neutral and target price of S$2.80, based on DDM valuation, pending confirmation of redevelopment plans.