Month: February 2009
Cambridge – BT
SINGAPORE – Cambridge Industrial Trust Management (CITM) on Feb 18 announced that it has successfully completed and fully drawn the $390.1 million syndicated term loan transaction announced in Dec 2008.
Proceeds have been utilised to refinance all of Cambridge Industrial Trust’s existing debt facilities.
‘The key terms of the loan remain as per the previous announcement other than a small increase in the effective interest rate resulting from the settlement and amortisation of a now ineffective part of the previous interest rate swap.
This rate will now be approximately 7.2 per cent and correspond to a distribution per unit impact for 2009 of approximately 1.2 cents per unit,’ CITM said in a regulatory filing to Singapore Exchange.
In its Dec 2008 announcement, CITM had indicated an effective interest rate of about 6.6 per cent per annum, including amortisation of upfront costs; it also said then that it anticipates the trust’s DPU in 2009 to be reduced by about 0.9 cent per annum, adding that amortisation of upfront costs does not affect the level of distributions to unitholders.
The syndicated term loan has a three-year tenor from drawdown.
CITM CEO Chris Calvert said in the latest announcement that the trust’s investors can ‘now enjoy the certainty arising from 100 per cent of the trust’s debt being fully funded for the next three years’.
CitySpring – OCBC
Cash earnings recover in 3Q09
Cash earnings re-stabilize. CitySpring Infrastructure Trust (CitySpring) posted a 4.3% YoY gain in 3Q09 revenue to S$101.2m and a net loss of S$21.3m primarily due to non-cash items such as fair value losses. Most importantly, cash earnings recovered at S$20.3m versus S$1.1m a quarter ago. To recap, 2Q cash earnings were hit by one-off items; a timing lag between quarterly-adjusted tariffs and actual fuel costs at City Gas; a negative CRSM1 payment and lower facility fees at Basslink. The underrecovery at City Gas was reversed during 3Q09 as fuel costs fell. City Gas has since reduced its gas tariffs from 1 February 2009. Over time, the revenue model is designed to leave City Gas neutral to the effect of changes in fuel costs. Basslink also recovered A$1m in facility fees based on its cumulative availability at year end. However, the trust registered another negative CRSM payment of A$3.1m. Meanwhile, CitySpring’s NAV dropped 80% to 10.6 S cents from 52.4 S cents a quarter ago. This figure is an unreliable gauge of the trust’s performance because of volatility created by (non-cash) movements in the fair value of financial instruments like interest rate hedges.
Fairly defensive assets. CitySpring’s assets have been relatively untouched by the current economic environment. This continues to be a key differentiator against other yield instruments like shipping trusts and S-REITs, which are witnessing industry downturns that create either revenue or counterparty uncertainty. The trust’s assets are fairly defensive, enjoying either a monopolistic market position or strategic consideration. City Gas earns regulated tariffs from over 600,000 domestic, commercial and industrial customers. It is likely that some of its commercial customers such as restaurants and hotels may be affected by the current downturn but the business primarily earns revenue from household use. Over the quarter, City Gas recorded a 7.7% YoY increase in sales volume. Meanwhile, SingSpring and Basslink earn availability-based revenues from strong counterparties (Singapore’s Public Utilities Board and Australia’s Hydro Tasmania).
1.75 S cents DPU. The trust will pay out 1.75 S cents per share for the quarter, flat QoQ and up 9.4% YoY. This translates to an annualized trailing yield of about 13.5%. The trust said it expected to meet its projected payout of another 1.75 S cents in 4Q09. Our concerns remain intact: in our opinion the 100% debt financing of the trust’s Basslink acquisition is not a long term solution and an equity injection is inevitable at some point. Maintain HOLD with S$0.57 fair value.
REITs – BT
Reit managers fail to get payouts trimmed
Move to cut payout ratio flops as investors demand certainty: sources
The authorities have turned down requests from some Reit managers to reduce the minimum payout ratio to unitholders, BT understands. This is currently set at 90 per cent of the distributable income of a Real Estate Investment Trust (Reit).
The Reit managers have also failed to get a tax holiday on undistributed income, sources say.
Some institutional investors are believed to have recently given feedback to Reits as well as Monetary Authority of Singapore that allowing a reduction in the 90 per cent minimum payout ratio would detract from a fundamental characteristic and key attraction of investing in a Reit – the certainty and stability of income to unitholders.
‘Basically, there would be income volatility once you lower the minimum payout ratio, because the Reit manager will have discretion to decide how much of a Reit’s income it should pay out to unitholders,’ a senior executive of a major Reit manager explains.
‘We have institutional investors who have told us they wouldn’t like Reits’ minimum payout ratios to be lowered from 90 per cent currently. It would defeat the purpose of a Reit.’
BT reported last month that some Reit managers had urged the government to trim the minimum payout to unitholders to as low as 50 per cent of distributable income, while still allowing Reits to enjoy tax concessions.
The proposals to MAS were initially championed by managers of some of the smaller Reits as a way of conserving cash in today’s tight credit environment, to service debt or even try to trim debt.
At first, even managers of a few of the bigger Reits are said to have been sympathetic to such calls, if it could help their smaller counterparts temporarily tide over their cashflow problems, in the interest of helping the S-Reit industry – although these big Reits themselves may have had no intention of lowering their distribution ratios.
However, there has been concern since then that institutional investors, such as superannuation funds, insurance companies and other funds that count on the certainty of a regulated minimum distribution from their investments in the S-Reit sector, may lose confidence and pull out from this market if this rudimentary attraction of Reits disappears.
An executive of a private investment vehicle involved in the S-Reit business said: ‘Investors who went into the Reit market looking for a steady distribution stream would not want the distributions on their units to be halved and used as a backdoor recapitalisation of the Reit.
‘Reit managers may have no choice but to look for ways to raise equity to recapitalise their business. This means holding a general meeting to seek unitholders’ mandate for the issuance of new units for the raising of new capital. The decision must come from the unitholders themselves, and not within the free reign of Reit managers, or indeed the MAS.’
The authorities are also said to have decided against granting a tax holiday on any undistributed amount of a Reit’s income, even if this stays at the current maximum 10 per cent of a Reit’s income.
S-Reits have to pay out at least 90 per cent of their distributable income to unitholders to enjoy tax transparency, which means exemption from paying corporate tax at the Reit level on the portion of income they distribute.
Some Reit managers had wanted the government to continue according them tax transparency, even at the lower payout ratio. A few even suggested MAS go a step further and grant Reits a tax holiday on the income that they withhold from distribution.
These suggestions had drawn flak from some quarters. A major question raised was why Reits should continue to enjoy exemption of corporate tax at vehicle level, if they trimmed their distribution payout ratios, when many other listed companies also return a chunk of their profits to shareholders, but still have to pay corporate taxes.
Saizen – BT
No distribution from Saizen Reit for Q2
SAIZEN Real Estate Investment Trust (Saizen Reit) yesterday said that it will not be giving out any distribution for its FY2009 second quarter.
‘In view of the current uncertain credit environment and the maturity schedule of Saizen Reit’s loans, the board believes it will be prudent for Saizen Reit to conserve cash at this juncture. As a temporary measure, the board therefore does not propose to declare any distribution for Q2 2009,’ the Reit told the Singapore Exchange.
Saizen Reit, listed on the Singapore Exchange in November 2007, invests in Japanese regional residential properties. The Reit reported that income attributable to its unitholders for the three months ended Dec 31, 2008 (Q2 2009) came to 214.7 million yen (S$3.5 million). In Q2 the previous year, Saizen Reit recorded income attributable to its unitholders of negative 565.2 million yen on the back of high IPO expenses. Due to an increase in the size of the Reit’s property portfolio, gross revenue and net property income rose by 24.5 per cent and 24.7 per cent respectively in Q2 2009 compared to a year ago.
Saizen Reit has a total of 5.28 billion yen of loans due in the first half of 2009. The Reit said that while it has sufficient cash resources on hand to fully repay that amount, it has a further 13.40 billion yen of loans due in November and December 2009. ‘Discussions with various potential lenders on their refinancing is ongoing,’ it informed. To facilitate and improve the likelihood of refinancing, the Reit’s manager in December 2008 announced a proposed rights-cum-warrants issue to strengthen the Reit’s capital base. Documentation of the rights-cum-warrants issue is in progress and regulatory clearance is now being obtained, it said. The relevant EGM could be convened in or around end-March or early-April 2009.
On Jan 13, the manager further proposed a scrip-only dividend scheme, subject to unitholders’ approval, ‘to provide the flexibility for Saizen Reit to pay out part or whole of a dividend by way of new scrip dividend units (in the event that a dividend is announced) and allows cash to be conserved for loan repayments’. Yesterday, the trust said that the payment of dividends in the form of units will be a ‘temporary measure to conserve cash during this uncertain period’. Saizen Reit will resume its dividend payment in the form of cash once the loan refinancing issues are resolved, it said.
Looking ahead, the trust said that while deteriorating economic conditions have resulted in increased leasing competition in certain cities, the negative impact on portfolio’s occupancies and operations have been relatively subdued as Saizen Reit’s portfolio properties cater to the local mass market segment instead of the high-end or expatriate markets.
MI-REIT – Phillip
MIREIT’s credit rating was downgraded by Moody’s to B1. The main reason for the downgrade is the impending refinancing need of MIREIT for its debt of $220.8 million due in April 2009. This is also our main concern regarding MIREIT. Although we understand the REIT manager has been in talks with various parties, nothing has been announced thus far.
Financial results are in line with expectations. Revenue for 3QFY09 is up 54.0%, net property income increases 49.1% and DPU increases 22.4%. MIREIT has maintained a quarterly DPU of 2.35 cents for FY09. Quarterly payout ratio was 92.7%, 87.7% and 98.5%. We believe the REIT manager has anticipated higher operating cost and therefore has maintained a fixed quantum of quarterly DPU so that there is buffer to withstand any volatility. With the retained cash on hand, MIREIT should be able to maintain at least the same amount of DPU for 4QFY09.
Funding remains the key concern. Besides refinancing its existing debt, MIREIT also has funding needs of $91 million in the third quarter of 2009 when construction of IBP is expected to complete. Current gearing is 39.7%, and will increase to approximately 47% if the $91 million is funded by debt.
Although revenue growth is backed by built-in rental escalation, we have assumed some degree of revenue softening. We maintain revenue assumptions for FY09F and lowered our revenue forecast for FY10F by 3%. Our DPU forecasts for FY09F and FY10F are 9.62cents and 8.58cents, a reduction of 4.5% for FY10F. We lower our fair value from $0.60 to $0.30. Downgrade from Buy to Hold.