Month: November 2009

 

PLife – BT

Parkway Life Reit stays upbeat as Q3 DPU rises 12%

PARKWAY Life Reit yesterday reported distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.91 cents for the third quarter to Sept 30, up 12.1 per cent from 1.71 cents in the equivalent period last year.

Income available for distribution was $11.6 million, up from $10.3 million last year.

Annualised DPU was 7.65 cents for a 6.59 per cent yield, based on Parkway’s closing price on Sept 30, up from 5.9 per cent last year; or 6.32 per cent based on yesterday’s closing price of $1.21 a unit. For the three months ended June, the Reit posted a 13.7 per cent increase in income available for distribution to $11.4 million, for a DPU of 1.89 cents.

For the third quarter, gross revenue rose 23.6 per cent year-on-year to $16.5 million, from $13.3 million. Net property income was $15.4 million, up from $12.5 million.

For the first nine months, distributable income was $34.3 million, up 14.1 per cent, for DPU of 5.69 cents, up from 5 cents last year.

Chief executive officer of the Reit’s manager Yong Yean Chau said: ‘Despite the challenging market conditions, we continue to enjoy strong growth quarter after quarter.

‘We remain committed to sharpening our focus on investment and asset management and seek to execute on timely acquisition opportunities at the appropriate time, to take PLife Reit to its next level of growth.’

Parkway Life owns the Mount Elizabeth, Gleneagles, and East Shore hospitals in Singapore, and 10 assets located in Japan, including nursing homes and a pharmaceutical product distributing and manufacturing facility.

Yesterday, Parkway said it was issuing 272,262 new units to its manager Parkway Trust Management, at an average price of $1.11 as payment of 20 per cent of the manager’s fees for the third quarter.

‘While there have been positive signs of an economic recovery, we believe that there are still uncertainties in the market.

‘However, given the defensive nature of PLife Reit and the fact that 96 per cent of our total portfolio has downside revenue protection, we remain optimistic about our growth in the medium to long term,’ said Mr Yong.

PLife – Phillip

Within expectations, and we like it

Parkway Life REIT (Plife) reported gross revenue for 3QFY09 of $16.5 million (+23.6% y-o-y, +2.5% q-o-q)), net property income (NPI) was $15.0 million (+23.3% y-o-y, +2.7% q-o-q). Distributable income was $11.6 million (+12.1% yo-y, +1.6 q-o-q). DPU for the quarter was 1.91 cents (+11.7% y-o-y, +1.1% q-o-q).

The financial results came in within expectations, and we think that is a good sign. To recall, Plife completed acquisition of the Japan properties in Sep 2008, therefore there were noticeable increase in revenues from 4QFY08 onwards. From 4QFY08, quarterly revenues were relatively stable, a reflection of the stability of the underlying healthcare related assets. DPU has also been on the incline with a consistent distribution margin around 0.7 level. The annual rent increment of 4.36% of the Singapore hospitals kicks-in in August 2009 and coupled with the increase in rental from the asset enhancement carried out on a Japan property, these will provide the impetus for growth in revenue in the next quarter.

On the capital management front, Plife’s gearing is 23.2% with total debt of $249 million. $34 million denominated in SGD is due in 2H2010 while the rest is denominated in JPY and due in 2011. Refinancing is not a major concern as Plife has already gotten funding facilities in place through a $50 million credit facility and also a $500 million MTM program.

Valuation and recommendation. We make no changes to our projections and maintain our optimism in the REIT. We have a FY09F DPU forecast of 7.59 cents, which translate to a dividend yield of 6.27%. We believe Plife is on track to meet our forecast and may even surprise slightly on the upside. We maintain our fair value of $1.37and Buy recommendation.

PLife – DBS

A stable set of results

At a Glance

• 3Q09 NPI of S$15.4m within expectations
• DPU of 1.91 Scents; ex-date on 11 Nov
• Acquisitions to aid growth could materialize in near term, in our view
• Retain Buy, TP S$1.37.

Comment on Results

3Q09 within expectations. 3Q09 net property income (NPI) grew by 23.2% to S$15.4m, driven by contribution from its Japan properties, which were acquired in Sep’08. Additionally, PREIT also saw higher rental from its Singapore hospitals due to the growth in minimum rent to S$52.7m in the 3rd year of lease (23 Aug 09 – 22 Aug 10), which increased by 4.36% based on the 1%+CPI growth rate rental calculation methodology.

DPU of 1.91 Scents. DPU grew by 11.6% yoy in 3Q09 to 1.91 Scents and up marginally from 1.89 Scents in 2Q09. Ex-date is 11 Nov and payable on 14 Dec.

Gearing remains at 23.3%, good debt headroom. PREIT’s gearing remains low at 23.3%, which allows for additional debt of S$301.3m and S$989.8m before it reaches 40% and 60% gearing respectively. Available sources of funds remains diversified ranging from a S$500m MTN facility, S$126m untapped bank facilities and S$50m 3-year revolving Murabaha facility.

Recommendation

Stable growth with acquisitions. As per our report on 24 Sep 09 (Poised to acquire), we still continue to expect management to deliver acquisitions in the near term, to further enhance growth, which will be funded via debt.

Retain Buy, TP unchanged at S$1.37. We retain our recommendation, in view of its defensive features (96% of total portfolio with downside rental protection), upside rental growth with CPI-linked revisions and opportunity for growth via acquisitions. Our TP is S$1.37 based on DCF (WACC 6.6%).

LMIR – OCBC

DPU falls QoQ on realized forex losses

DPU falls on realized forex losses. LMIR Trust reported 5% QoQ gains in 3Q revenue and net property income to S$20.6m and S$19.4m respectively. Distributed income, however, fell 6% QoQ to S$13.1m or 1.22 S cents per unit. Revenue and NPI were in line but DPU was below our expectations. The manager attributed the QoQ decline to the dramatic appreciation of the Indonesian Rupiah, which caused the gap between the hedged rate on distributions and the physical rate to reverse unfavorably in 3Q09. Consequently, LMIR booked a realized (cash) forex loss this quarter of S$0.4m versus a gain of S$1.2m in 2Q09. This pushed distributed income down despite a roughly 3% (our estimate) increase in revenue and NPI in IDR terms.

Rimo exit hits occupancy… A QoQ pick-up in casual leasing was partially offset by an anchor tenant’s exit from two LMIR malls. Rimo department store was occupying about 4,000 sq m in Istana Plaza (IP) and about 3,250 sq m in Gajah Madah Plaza (GMP). As a result, occupancy as at 30th September fell 8.5 percentage points to 89.8% at GMP and fell 15.4 percentage points to 80.1% at IP. Despite this gap, overall retail mall occupancy of 93% continued to outperform the industry average of 83% (Cushman & Wakefield).

… Adversely affects 4Q. The vacant space at both malls is being taken over by LMIR’s sister company and key tenant Matahari Department Store but the fitting out process takes time. With the timing gap between Rimo’s exit and Matahari’s official opening in December, the manager guided that 4Q09 revenue is likely to be adversely affected by the loss of income from Rimo. The unfavorable gap between the hedged rate on distributions and the physical rate could further weigh on 4Q09 distributions. Note the manager is guiding for roughly 99% occupancy at GMP and IP once Matahari opens.

Re-assessing call. We now estimate a 5% QoQ decline in 4Q DPU to 1.16 S cents. While we still like the LMIR portfolio and the medium-term Indonesia retail story, the 2H recovery we had hoped for is not taking shape as planned. The retail property sector also remains soft and we believe rents and occupancy may take longer to recover than we had previously anticipated. Realized forex losses may act as an additional drag. Yields are compelling but we think this is a good time for a breather as near-term catalysts appear anemic. Downgrade to HOLD with revised fair value of S$0.48 (prev: S$0.51).

Saizen – BT

Saizen Reit defaults on 7.25b yen loan

Property trust says maturity default not likely to affect its ability to operate

Singapore-listed property trust Saizen Reit said yesterday it had defaulted on a 7.253 billion yen (S$112.65 million) commercial mortgage-backed securities loan.

The company said in a statement the ‘maturity default’ was not expected to affect Saizen Reit’s ability to operate as a going concern nor impair its ability to get further financing.

A maturity default occurs when the borrower fails to pay the lender the balloon payment, or principal balance, at maturity.

‘The main impact of this maturity default is an increase in the interest rate from 3.07 per cent to a default rate of 7.07 per cent per annum,’ Saizen said in a statement.

The loan, known as ‘YK Sintoku’, is a non-recourse and not cross-collateralised against other properties in Saizen Reit’s portfolio. It was originally provided by Credit Suisse Principal Investments Ltd, a unit of Credit Suisse, in 2005 and was later securitised and transferred to an issuer of the commercial-mortgage backed securities, the statement said.

Saizen, which went to market in November 2007, is the only Singapore-listed real estate investment trust (Reit) with purely Japanese regional residential properties. — Reuters