Month: November 2011
REITs – BT
The Reit myth busted
Whatever Reits pay out in dividends, they will take back a few years later in the form of rights issues
THE high yields of real estate investment trusts (Reits) are tempting. And indeed, they have been touted as a relatively safe and stable instrument to own if one is looking for a steady stream of income. As such, many investors see Reits as a good asset class to have in one's retirement accounts.
But you know what? That Reits are good income-yielding instruments is but a myth. The thing is, whatever they pay out in dividends, they will take back – all and more – a few years later in the form of rights issues.
Here's what I found. Of the 17 Reits which have a listing history of at least four years on the Singapore Exchange, only three have not had any cash calls or secondary equity raising. The remaining 13 have had cash calls, and many had raised cash multiple times. One had a few rounds of private placement of new units which diluted the stake of existing unitholders somewhat.
For many of these Reits, the cash called back far exceeded the cash received. So, the myth of Reits as almost comparable to a fixed income instrument is really busted.
Take CapitaMall Trust (CMT) which was listed in July 2002. Assuming that Ms Retiree bought one lot or 1,000 units at the initial public offering (IPO) for a total sum of $960. For the whole of 2003, she received $57 in dividends. However in that year, CMT also had a one-for-10 rights issue. To subscribe for her entitlement, Ms Retiree would have to cough out $107.
In 2004, she would received $89 for the total number of CMT units she owned. That year, CMT had another rights issue, also one-for-10. The exercise price was higher at $1.62. To subscribe, Ms Retiree would have to fork out $178.
In 2005, CMT again had another fund raising exercise via rights issue. Ms R would pocket $124 in dividends but in that same year, had to return $282 back to the Reit.
In the next three years – 2006 to 2008 – Ms Retiree felt rich and happy. She merrily banked in her quarterly distributions which amounted to $404 for her holdings of CMT. Her one lot, after three rights issues, had grown to 1,331 units.
In the following year, another $175 was distributed. But CMT wasn't going to let Ms R be happy for long. It launched a big one – a 9-for10 rights issue. To fully subscribe for her entitlement, Ms R had to empty her bank account of a whopping $982.
And you know what, the cash call came in March 2009, when the Straits Times Index fell below 1,600 points, and many retirees were dismayed to see their investment portfolios plunge by half or more. Many fret if they would have enough left in the pot to sustain their lifestyle. Having to cough up more money for a Reit was the last thing that they wanted to do!
Negative cash flow
And here's the final tally. Since its IPO until today, a holder of one lot of CMT would have received $1,264 in cash distributions. However, in all, he or she had to return $1,549 back to the Reit so as to subscribe to their entitlement of new issues. That's a net outflow of $284 per lot.
It's the same story with K-Reit Asia, Capitacommercial Trust, Frasers Commercial Trust, Mapletree Logistics, First Reit, Lippo Malls Indo Retail Trust, AIMS AMP CAP and Saizen REIT in that what was taken back from investors was more than what was given out.
K-Reit has been one of the most aggressive fund raising Reits. Had you started with just one lot when it was listed in April 2006, you would have to dish out $8,399 to subscribe to your rights issue. Distributions amounted to $1,110, resulting in a net outflow of $7,289.
For Reits with at least four years of track record, only Fraser Centrepoint, Parkway Life and CapitaRetail China have not had any cash calls.
Instead of a rights issue, Suntec Reit raised funds by issuing new units to some institutional investors at a slight discount. Existing unitholders don't have to cough out additional cash, but they would have their share of earnings diluted somewhat.
Misalignment of interests
Reits are managed by managers, and managers are paid based on the size of the portfolio that they manage. So the incentive is for the managers to continue to raise money and expand the portfolio size. Sometimes this is not done in the best interest of unitholders.
The most recent controversy was over K-Reit's purchase of Ocean Financial Centre (OFC) from its sponsor Keppel Land. K-Reit has launched a 17-for-20 rights issue to pay for the purchase which was deemed by the market to be expensive at a time of uncertain outlook and when office rental is expected to ease.
BT reader Bobby Jayaraman argued that rather than be compensated based on factors such as the value of assets, net property income and acquisition fees, Reit managers should be paid based on a combination of growth in distribution per unit and market valuation of the Reit.
'If Reit managers were paid on the basis of distribution per unit and market valuation growth, would K-Reit have bulldozed its way through the OFC acquisition like they have done?
'The day K-Reit announced the OFC acquisition, its stock price fell close to 10 per cent and has continued sliding. Yet, its Reit manager will take home significantly increased management fees while shareholders would have lost a good chunk of their capital even as they bear significantly more risk in the form of higher leverage and potential property devaluations given the uncertain environment,' he wrote to BT.
Misalignment of interests aside, there are also unitholders who clamour for growth.
But while Reits may not be the perfect income yielding instrument that they are made out to be, they have proven their capacity for capital appreciation. Relative to the capital ploughed in, CapitaMall Trust has rewarded its unitholders with a return of 127 per cent. Most Reits have yielded positive total returns.
Instead of buying Reits for yields, some savvy investors only buy them when they see those with good quality assets trade at sharp discounts to their book value. For example in the first half of 2009, CMT was trading at 50 per cent its book value. Today, it is not as cheap. At $1.755, CMT is now trading at 13 per cent premium to its net asset value of $1.55.
Hence, valuation metrics which apply to a typical asset heavy stock would apply to Reits as well.
CitySpring – Kim Eng
Event
CitySpring Infrastructure last week appointed a new chief investment officer to lead its hunt for fresh investments. But this move has had no positive impact on the unit price as the company’s balance sheet is still not strong enough for M&A activities despite the recent capital injection. Having underperformed the STI by 12% since the rights issue, CitySpring’s unit price is at an all-time low – 12.7% below the rights price – and it offers a dividend yield of 9.5%. Maintain HOLD and target price of $0.35.
Our View
CitySpring bought Basslink, its first and only acquisition post-IPO, for about S$1.5b in July 2007. Approximately 75% of the acquisition price was funded by the A$ bonds while the remaining 25% was initially funded by a bridge loan then. Since then, the company called two rounds of equity fundraising to address the Basslink-related loans. The dismal acquisition track record and existing debt obligations will make the closing of future deals highly challenging.
Under the new rule 704(31) of the SGX-ST listing manual, CitySpring disclosed several conditions that would cause a default of its loan agreements with DBS Bank, interest rate hedges and other facilities. These include a cessation of Temasek Holdings’ ownership of all units in CitySpring, removal/resignation of trustee-manager and/or more than 50% change in board directors (after Temasek’s stake slips below 20%). Currently, Temasek’s unitholding in CitySpring is 37.4% and the risk of a sell-off weighs on price performance.
Action & Recommendation
CitySpring’s underlying businesses are defensive in nature and have remained stable. Management guided for a full-year DPU of 3.28 cents per share. Our target price of $0.35 is based on the discounted free cash flow-to-equity model using a higher cost of equity of 10.4% (previously 8.3%). Maintain HOLD.
REITs – BT
MAS weighs in on Reit sector debate
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) may offer more regulatory guidance to the real estate investment trust (Reit) industry in efforts to boost corporate governance standards, it said yesterday.
MAS did not highlight specific companies but was responding to criticism that current rules governing the Reit sector fail to protect the interests of minority shareholders.
Central to this brewing debate is the $1.57 billion sale of Keppel Land’s entire stake in Ocean Financial Centre to K-Reit Asia – a plan that was criticised by shareholders for both the timing and price. The deal was approved but through a show of hands at the shareholders’ meeting – a voting system that the Singapore Exchange (SGX) is proposing to ban.
Under a show-of-hands system, each person gets a single vote regardless of the number of shares he holds. The alternative of poll voting gives each shareholder voting rights according to the size of his shareholding.
‘The current code on collective investment schemes under MAS, which regulates Reits, is not robust enough to prevent unscrupulous Reits from taking advantage of minority shareholders,’ said reader Bobby Jayaraman in a letter to The Business Times on Nov 16.
‘The major culprit is the incentive system for Reits, which does not always align with shareholder interests,’ he added.
Rather that be compensated based on factors such as the value of assets, net property income and acquisition fees, Reit managers should be paid based on a combination of growth in distribution per unit and market valuation of the Reit, said Mr Jayaraman.
In response, MAS director of communications Angelina Fernandez said in a letter: ‘MAS will consider issuing further guidance to the industry as part of our ongoing effort to enhance corporate governance in Reits and other listed entities.’
The regulator reminded companies and boards to uphold high corporate governance standards. ‘Corporate governance rules and guidelines cannot envisage all possible circumstances,’ Ms Fernandez said.
‘When observing such rules and guidelines, companies and their boards must always bear in mind the interests of shareholders or unitholders; and not take an overly technical approach,’ she added.
MAS highlighted current rules that are in place to safeguard investor interest when it comes to interested party transactions. For example, transactions that represent at least 5 per cent of the Reit’s net asset value are subject to voting by independent unitholders, and two independent valuations have to be obtained – one for the Reit manager, and another for the sponsor.
Limits are also set on the sale and purchase prices, and acquisition fees paid to the manager are in the form of units that can be sold only after a year.
MCT – BT
ARC off to a good start with tenants
MAPLETREE Commercial Trust’s (MCT) up-and-coming Alexandra Retail Centre (ARC) has secured a portfolio of strong anchor tenants prior to its expected opening later this year.
Notably, NTUC FairPrice and McDonald’s are the two largest tenants signed on thus far and collectively occupy around 15 per cent of the mall’s total lettable area.
In terms of overall tenant-mix, ARC is expected to encompass a higher proportion of food-and-beverage (F&B) outlets as compared to most other malls.
In fact, as the development is intended to be a convenience mall mainly serving the office population in the Alexandra Precinct, F&B outlets have been designated to make up 30-40 per cent of ARC’s total tenant-mix with the remaining largely comprising a supermarket as well as lifestyle and service-type tenants, highlighted a spokesman for Mapletree Commercial Trust Management Ltd (MCTM).
In addition to McDonald’s, the retail centre – which is within walking distance of the newly-opened Labrador Park MRT Station – has also signed on F&B names such as BBQ Chicken, Spinelli’s and The Soup Spoon.
Education and enrichment centres catering to the residential population in the wider area such as Cristofori Music School and Berries World of Learning will also be part of the new mall, which has Watson’s and Unity signed up as well. ARC has concluded leases for around half of its lettable area so far.
Expected to open its doors to the public some time in December, the MCT mall is expected to be fully occupied by next July as it opens gradually over the course of the next few months.
‘We are opening the mall progressively so as to improve the connectivity of the precinct to and from the MRT station as well as to improve the provision of amenities to the precinct,’ said the MCTM spokesman.
Assuming things go according to plan and the mall is completed on schedule, ARC is expected to contribute positively to MCT’s topline and dividend per unit (DPU) in its upcoming fourth-quarter and next financial year results.
Poll on Charities and Cause – 2011
Attention to Readers of Singapore REITs
As the year draws to an end, we are planning to start an annual tradition of donating to a charity, using part of the proceeds (perhaps we'll share our charity plans for the balance at a later date when the amount is a lot more meaningful) we'd collected from our adsense account. Since the money comes from our readers, we thought that it'd be more meaningful for the readers to make the decision on which charity to donate to.
Which charities and causes do you support? Please express your view on the poll that was setup on the sidebar.
Last day of polling is on 30 Nov 2011.
