Month: January 2012

 

Suntec – BT

Suntec Reit Q4 DPU rises 7%, beating forecast

Full-year DPU up 0.7%; gross revenue jumps 30.4%

SUNTEC Real Estate Investment Trust (Suntec Reit) reported a distribution per unit (DPU) of 2.479 cents for the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011, up 7 per cent year on year, and 19.9 per cent higher than its forecast.

This brings its DPU for 2011 to 9.932 cents, a 0.7 per cent increase from 2010 and beating forecast by 14.2 per cent.

Income available for distribution for the quarter exceeded its forecast by 20.7 per cent and stood at $55.3 million – a 23.1 per cent increase from the corresponding period a year ago.

For the year, Suntec Reit posted a record-high income available for distribution of $220.7 million, 20.9 per cent higher than 2010’s $182.5 million.

Said Yeo See Kiat, chief executive officer of ARA Trust Management (Suntec) Ltd, Suntec Reit’s manager: ‘I am happy to report that we have delivered a record high distribution income for FY 2011, despite the negative rental reversions in our office portfolio during the year. This was achieved on the back of strong performance from Marina Bay Financial Centre properties as well as prudent capital management that led to greater interest savings.’

Gross revenue for the quarter was $80 million, an increase of 30.4 per cent over Q4 2010, and 33.5 per cent higher than its forecast. This was mainly due to the consolidation of Suntec Singapore’s revenue following the acquisition of an additional 40.8 per cent effective interest in August 2011.

Excluding Suntec Singapore’s revenue contribution of $20 million, however, the gross revenue for Q4 2011 was $60.1 million – 2.1 per cent lower than the same period the year before, due to a decline in retail and office revenues.

Gross revenue for the year stood at $270.3 million, up 8.3 per cent from 2010’s $249.5 million.

Net property income for the quarter rose 10.1 per cent year on year to $52 million, while for the full year, this was up 0.2 per cent at $193.4 million.

As at Dec 31, 2011, the overall committed occupancy for Suntec Reit’s office and retail portfolio stood at 99.2 per cent and 97.5 per cent respectively.

Commenting on Suntec Reit’s office portfolio, Mr Yeo said: ‘In view of the current euro crisis and the uncertain economic outlook in 2012, we stepped up our proactive leasing strategy and forward renewed more than 233,000 sq ft of our leases due to expire in 2012.’

‘With a balance of approximately 10 per cent of our leases due to expire in 2012, we are well positioned to meet the challenges ahead,’ he added.

Looking ahead, Suntec Reit’s manager said that an estimated 1.3 million sq ft of office space is expected to enter the market this year – 50 per cent lower than the new supply in 2011.

‘However, overall Grade A rents and demand are expected to be muted in 2012, as companies remain conservative and hold off possible expansion plans or reconfigure offices to sub-let excess space,’ it added.

Suntec Reit units closed half a cent lower yesterday at $1.145.

ART – BT

One-off events pull down Ascott Trust DPU

Q4 payout is 1.83 cents; full-year payout up 13 per cent to 8.53 cents

DISTRIBUTION per unit for the fourth quarter at Ascott Residence Trust has fallen 15 per cent from a year ago and is 8 per cent below the trust manager’s forecast, due to costs incurred for one-off events in the quarter.

For the current year, ‘we expect operating performance of our properties to improve over 2011 based on source currency’, said Ascott Residence Trust Management Ltd CEO Chong Kee Hiong. However, this is likely to be offset by an estimated 50 basis point increase in interest expense in 2012.

What will be critical to the trust’s bottom line this year will be movements between the Singapore dollar and three currencies – the Vietnamese dong, the euro and the pound. Income received in these currencies account for about 60 per cent of ART’s gross profit on an annual basis.

When asked about the likelihood of ART making acquisitions, Mr Chong said that generally, buyers and sellers are likely to adopt a wait-and-see attitude in the first half due to market uncertainty. ‘Deals are more likely in the second half.’

DPU for the three months ended Dec 31, 2011 fell 15 per cent year on year to 1.83 cents. The latest quarter’s DPU was also 8 per cent lower than the 1.99 cents that ARTML had forecast in an offer information statement dated Sept 13, 2010.

This is due to costs incurred for one-off events in Q4 2011, including a $2.1 million provision for licensing-related matters for a service residence in China, about $500,000 for setting up a US$2 billion euro-medium term note programme to tap an enlarged pool of investors, and loan-related expenses and cash holding costs of $800,000 in conjunction with raising $250 million from the trust’s existing medium term note programme to refinance secured borrowings due in 2012, extend loan tenure and free up encumbered assets for greater financial flexibility.

‘This has resulted in a stronger balance sheet with reduced debt refinancing exposure in 2012, and a healthy debt maturity of more than three years with close to four times interest cover,’ said Mr Chong.

Excluding the above one-off cost items, the Q4 2011 unitholders’ distribution would have been $24 million (matching Q4 2010’s $23.9 million), instead of $20.6 million. ARTML’s forecast for Q4 2011 was $22.5 million.

The trust, which makes semi-annual payouts, will distribute 4.063 cents per unit for the July 1-Dec 31 2011 period. In the stock market yesterday, the counter closed unchanged at $1.005.

ART’s full-year 2011 DPU payout of 8.53 cents, which is up 13 per cent from 2010, represents 100 per cent of distributable income. The FY2011 DPU is 10 per cent above forecast.

Revenue for Q4 2011 rose 3 per cent year on year to $75.3 million. Revenue per available unit per day too improved 7 per cent to $146 – largely on the back of stronger performance from the group’s service residences in the UK, Singapore and Indonesia. The two figures also exceeded forecast by 2 per cent and 6 per cent respectively.

Full-year revenue rose 39 per cent to $288.7 million, while gross profit surged 55 per cent to $157.5 million. This was due largely to additional contribution from the 28 service residences acquired on Oct 1, 2010, partly offset by divestment of Ascott Beijing and Country Woods in Jakarta. On a same store basis, FY2011 revenue increased by 1.8 per cent to $165.3 million, and gross profit climbed 4 per cent to $81.1 million, led by Singapore service residences.

Unitholders’ distribution climbed 67 per cent to $96.2 million for FY2011.

ART has 65 properties with 6,600 units in 23 cities across 12 countries in the Asia-Pacific and Europe.

‘We will continue to implement asset enhancement initiatives to increase the returns of our portfolio. Operating performance of London properties is expected to be boosted by the completion of the renovation of Citadines Prestige Trafalgar Square and the upcoming London Olympics 2012,’ ARTML said in its results statement.

MLT – BT

MapletreeLog DPU rises 9.7% in Q4

MAPLETREE Logistics Trust (MLT) saw distributable income increase 12.2 per cent to $41.3 million for the fourth quarter ended Dec 31, 2011, from $36.8 million the year before.

However, distribution per unit (DPU) grew at a slower rate due to a larger number of units from an equity fund-raising exercise back in Q2 2010. Q4 distribution per unit (DPU) was 1.70 cents, 9.7 per cent higher than last year’s 1.55 cents. The Q4 DPU includes a distribution of 0.03 cent from divestment gains.

Its Q4 gross revenue climbed 17.8 per cent year-on-year to $71.9 million in the quarter ended Dec 31, mainly due to contributions from four properties acquired in the financial year and stronger contributions from existing assets on the back of positive rental reversions and improved occupancies.

With a larger asset base and a greater number of multi-tenanted properties, property expenses also climbed 43.9 per cent to $10.3 million from $7.2 million previously.

Consequently, MLT’s net property income for the period grew 14.4 per cent to $61.6 million.

On a year-to-date basis, MLT’s gross revenue grew 22.6 per cent to $268.3 million from $218.9 million a year back, largely due to contributions from 14 properties acquired back in FY2010, in addition to four other assets acquired in FY2011.

Not surprisingly, borrowing costs also rose by $5.4 million due to funds required for acquisition activities.

This resulted in the total amount distributable increasing by 21.9 per cent to $158.6 million compared to $130.1 million last year.

This translates to a DPU of 6.54 cents – including 0.06 cent for the period from the divestment gains of 9 Tampines and 39 Tampines.

Gearing-wise, aggregate leverage as at end last year was about 41 per cent, largely unchanged from the prior quarter, and with ‘little refinancing risk’ this year, said management.

Overall portfolio occupancy also remained at a healthy 98.8 per cent while the weighted average lease to expiry was around six years, implying stable cash flows and regular income streams in the periods ahead.

MLT invests in a portfolio of income producing logistics real estate assets which encompasses 98 properties valued at a book value exceeding $3.7 billion as at Dec 31.

Yesterday, the counter closed 1.5 cents, or 1.7 per cent, lower at 86 cents.

During a teleconference yesterday evening, cost was noted to be a key challenge going forward, especially in countries such as China due to rising wage levels.

However, with a continued focus on ‘yield optimisation by active asset and lease management’, Richard Lai, chief executive officer of the manager, remains confident that MLT will continue to deliver decent returns.

On the acquisitions end, Mr Lai noted that they are ‘not rushing’ into any particular deal and will maintained a ‘disciplined approach’.

A-REIT – DBSV

Growth story remains intact

Management at post-results luncheon meeting affirms healthy operational outlook

Investments to bear fruit in coming quarters. Maintain FY13-14F earnings growth of c2-4%.

Maintain HOLD and DCF-based TP S$2.14

Operational outlook remain healthy. A-REIT’s operational performance in 3Q12 was in line with expectations. 9MFY12 earnings formed 76% of our forecasts. Portfolio occupancy remained steady at 95.6% (multi-tenanted buildings at 92.3%), with a slight sequential dip after the consolidation of recently acquired Corporation Place (79.6% occupancy) and 3 Changi Business Park (95% occupancy). Looking ahead, leasing risk is limited with WALE of 4.1 years and only 16% of topline due for renewal. Renewals are also diversified across various industrial segments. In addition, current market clearing levels are at a healthy 18-34% margin above expiring rent levels.

Investments to kick-start earnings growth over FY13-14F. Having invested c.S$712m (S$238.4m yet to be deployed) in growing and enhancing its portfolio, A-REIT is expected to reap the fruits come FY13-14F as these projects reached completion. The manager is also currently looking at a couple of opportunities to grow the REIT, but maintain disciplined in its acquisition approach. China remains in focus, targeting to grow its exposure to 20% of total asset over the longer term. Property types will be for valued added industries (software, corporate HQs) instead of manufacturing.

Capital management. The manager remains disciplined and kept gearing at comfortable 34.1% (heading towards estimated 38% upon completion of investments). However, management does not rule out equity fund raisings for potential acquisitions, if any that are DPU accretive to unitholders.

HOLD call on valuation grounds, maintain DCF-based TP S$2.14. While we like A-REIT’s defensive and well-diversified portfolio and strong execution track record, upside to our target price appears limited from current level. Forward yields of 6.6-6.9% should limit share price downside.

CMT – OCBC

UPGRADE TO BUY – RESULTS IN LINE

4Q results mostly in line

AEI and Greenfield execution spot on

Upgrade to BUY

4Q11 numbers broadly in line

CMT announced 4Q11 distributable income of S$75.5m or a DPU of 2.30 S-cents. Cumulatively, FY11 distributable income came in at S$301.6m, in line with our forecast of S$300.3m. Net property income for the year increased 4.8% YoY to S$418.2m, driven mostly by contributions from Clarke Quay and Illuma acquired in Jul10 and Apr11, respectively, and positive rental reversions.

Operating expenses tracking higher

Though we saw FY11 revenue increase 8.5% YoY (3.6% on a samestore basis), operating expenses tracked at a faster rate (up 16.7% YoY or 7.9% on a same store basis). We understand that this came mostly from one-time expenses and also utilities and maintenance costs. Management indicated that they are actively curtailing operating expenses and we expect less aggressive margin pressure in FY12-13.

Lower valuations at IMM and Sembawang Shopping Centre

In terms of fair value adjustments – IMM’s valuation was lowered by S$53m to reflect lower rentals and margins as it transitions further into a bargain outlet mall; and Sembawang Shopping Centre’s valuation was lowered by S$19m to reflect lower rentals expectations.

Management executing well on AEIs and Westgate

JCube is currently 90% committed and we expect asset enhancement initiatives (AEI) at Atrium@Orchard and Illuma to keep on schedule (completion in 4Q12 and 2Q12 respectively). Management also proposed AEI plans for Clarke Quay, recovering space from the anchor tenant at Block C (1/4 of the NLA) to refresh the tenant mix.

Upgrade to BUY

Management’s execution remains solid with new projects tracking closely to schedules. We also like that a substantial portion of income is derived from resilient suburban malls, given an uncertain economic outlook. Upgrade to BUY with a lower S$2.02 fair value (versus S$2.06 previously) with a 12m DPU forecast of 10.0 S-cents.