ART – DBSV

Stellar Singapore!

3Q10 DPU of 1.85 Scts in line

Stellar Singapore operations drove portfolio growth

Expanded portfolio provides stable and visible income source ahead

Maintain BUY for exposure to booming travel industry in Asia. TP S$1.38 (20% total return)

3Q10 DPU of 1.85 Scts in line. Ascott REIT (“ART”) topline and gross profit of S$43.5m (+5% yoy, +5% qoq) and S$21.1m (-6% yoy, +2% qoq) respectively were in line with expectations. Led by strong performances in its Singapore and Philippines operations, ART achieved a portfolio RevPAU of S$130/night in 3Q10 (+7% yoy, +4% qoq) on the back of slight uptick in occupancies to 83%. Distributable income remained stable at S$11.9m, translating to a DPU of 1.85 Scts (excluding distribution to placement units, DPU will have been 1.94 Scts).

Performance pulled ahead by Singapore, With inventory in Singapore fully operational, it delivered a stunning 31% growth in topline, which was in line with expectations, driven by higher RevPAU (S$243/night, +37% yoy). This is followed closely by its operations in Australia (RevPAU: S$153, +15%yoy) and Philippines (S$137, +4% yoy), due to improved demand for rooms amid rebounding travel activities. Operations in the other remaining countries were relatively mixed.

Asia to drive 53% of topline growth going forward. With the recent portfolio injections from the sponsor completed, ART will derive 53% of its income from Asia and the remaining 47% from Europe. This will form a stable and visible income source for ART from 4Q10 onwards. We moderate our FY10-11 DPU forecast slightly to account for a stronger S$.

BUY call maintained, TP S$1.38. With FY11-12 prospective yield of c6.6-6.7%, ART offers investors an attractive exposure to the recovery in global travel & business activities. Current price offers total return of 20%.

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