CLT – AmFraser

Building a resilient platform for growth. Cache’s fullyear results are in line, with FY13 DPU of 8.64c representing 101.4% of our fullyear estimate. Driven by builtin rent escalations and the addition of new properties to the portfolio in FY12 and FY13, distributable income is up by 14.1%. In FY13, Cache also clocked in a revaluation gain of S$6.7mil. We note that this is primarily driven by an improved market valuation of CWT Commodity Hub bearing testament to its asset quality.

We laud Cache’s proactive efforts on the capital management front. Cache’s aggregate leverage currently stands at 29.1%, translating into a comfortable debt headroom of S$98mil (assuming a target leverage ratio of 35%). Notably, Cache does not face any debt refinancing needs till 2015. Meanwhile, allin financing cost is at 3.48%, of which 70% has been hedged into fixedrate, and this would considerably mitigate its interest rate risks.

Against the odds. Despite a relatively muted nearterm outlook for warehouse rents, we continue to view Cache’s rental prospects positively. Expiring rents in FY15 are estimated to be below market rents and only 3% of Cache’s portfolio is due for renewal in FY14. We are currently factoring in positive rent reversions of approx. 5% in FY15.

Acquisition pace likely to pick up steam. Owing to heightened competition among SREITs and a tougher regulatory environment, the hunt for yieldaccretive assets in Singapore is undeniably proving to be a daunting task. As such, Cache is broadening its acquisition focus to overseas markets such as China and Malaysia.

Conservatively, we factor in S$80mil of acquisitions in FY14 at a NPI yield of 7.5%. This raises our FY14 and FY15 DPU by 2.3% and 7.9% respectively.

An attractive yield opportunity. With an annualized yield of 7.7%, Cache ranks highly amongst the industrial SREITs in terms of distribution yields (average: 7.4%). We note that this also represents a 519 basis point spread over the 10year Singapore Government

Bond yield a comfortable level in our view.

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