Author: tfwee

 

AllCo – Phillip

Amidst news of recent aggressive buying sprees in the core CBD area, Allco took the alternative approach by making an acquisition in the CBD fringe area. Allco annouced the acquisition of Keypoint, located at the junction of Beach Road and Jalan Sultan, for a total consideration of $370 million, which is at a discount of 1.18% to the appraised value of $374.4 million.

About the property. Keypoint is an integrated 25-storey commercial building with a total NLA of 311,892 sq ft. The building comprises a three storey podium and a 22-storey office tower. Office space represents 89.4% of the NLA while retail space occupies 10.6%. Allco will acquire the property for a total consideration of $370 million, a discount of 1.18% to the appraised value of $374.4 million, at an initial yield of 4.65%. In addition, the acquisition has an income support deed of up to $10.5 million over a period of two years. The acquisition will be fully funded by debt which will bring gearing up to 46%, slightly past the target range of 40%-45%. The leases have a WALE of 1.05 years contracted at an average of $3.28 psf versus the current asking rate of $6.00 psf.

Valuation and Recommendation. With our revised estimates, we have a forecasted payout of 5.42 cents for FY07 and 7.63 cents for FY08, which translate to 5.0% and 7.1% yields respectively. We retain our fair value estimate of $1.68, pending a review after the 3rd quarter results annoucement later in the month. We view the acquisition favourably, mainly due to the a) spillover demand from the core CBD area, and b) expiring leases that allow Allco to capture positive rental reversions at an opportune time when rentals are on an uptrend. We reiterate our view that Allco’s valuation remains attractive given that it is currently trading at a 22% discount to its book value. We feel that Allco has not caught up to the broad market upswing recently and this presents an entry opportunity.

PLife – DBS

Defensive play with upside exposure to healthcare sector

MapleTree – DBS

Updates from roadshow

K-Reit – UBS

K-REITS, UBS remains a BUY with target price $3.61

– EGM to be held on 11 October 2007. K-REIT Asia (K-REIT) has issued a circular to its unit holders on the voting of six resolutions related to the proposed acquisition of a one-third interest in One Raffles Quay. To fund the acquisition, K-REIT has proposed raising S$966.5m through the issue of S$250-400m in convertible bonds and S$716-567m in equity.

– Tight office supply situation expected to persist until 2010. Based on the government’s GDP growth forecast of 4-6% pa, we expect office demand to average 1.8msf pa over 2008-10, compared with supply of 1.45msf pa. Some of the new supply in 2010 is also pre-committed. Thus, we believe it is timely for K-REIT to acquire One Raffles Quay and capture the strong rental reversion trend.

– Acquisition positions K-REIT as key Marina Bay office REIT. Given Keppel Land’s support for K-REIT, we believe it could become the largest office REIT in Singapore with over S$5bn in assets. We think the stake in One Raffles Quay at S$2110psf is fair, which results in a 2008E net yield of 1.9% (increasing to 5.0% with income support). With the sponsor’s income support, the injection should be yield accretive for the REIT in 2008.

– Valuation Buy rating and S$3.61 price target. We derive our price target from a DCF valuation, taking into account explicit five year DPU estimates, assuming a growth rate of 7% and a terminal growth rate 2.25%. We raise our 2007 EPS estimate from S$0.06 to S$0.07. At the current share price, we estimate K-REIT’s 2008 yield will be 3.9% and forecast a DPU CAGR of 11% for 2007-12.

Saizen – BT

Japan property trust eyes up to $244m in S’pore IPO

SINGAPORE – Saizen Real Estate Investment Trust (Reit), based entirely on Japanese property assets, has lodged its prospectus to raise as much as $244.4 million (US$166 million) in Singapore, confirming a Reuters story last month.

A Hong-Kong based private equity group is selling 196.74 million units of Saizen in an initial public offer at between $1.00 and $1.08 per unit, with a further 29.5 million units to be sold if an over-allotment option is exercised.

Saizen Reit’s initial portfolio of 146 residential buildings are located in 12 cities across Japan. It does not own any property in Tokyo and Osaka.

The trust’s sponsor, Japan Regional Assets Manager, said in the prospectus that the regional residential properties generate higher yields than similar properties in Tokyo and Osaka.

The properties are valued at $626.8 million, with 27 per cent of their aggregate income generated from the city of Sapporo.

Saizen Reit expects to add a further 15 properties worth $71.4 million.

The REIT is forecast to pay dividend yields of between 6.09 and 6.51 per cent per unit this year and 5.29-5.65 per cent next year.

Credit Suisse and Morgan Stanley are arranging the deal.

Unlike Singapore Reits, Japanese-listed trusts are not allowed to hold offshore assets.

Other property trusts based on Japanese assets are expected to emerge soon in Singapore, which is Asia Pacific’s third largest Reit market after Australia and Japan.

JPMorgan and Lehman Bros are believed to be helping Tokyo-based Asia Pacific Land Group raise at least $500 million (US$333 million) from the divestment of some of its Japanese retail and office properties via a Singapore-listed Reit, while Japanese real estate funds manager Re-plus is said to have hired Citigroup to arrange a property trust based on office buildings in China. — REUTERS

Reference : Prospectus