Category: Uncategorized
CMT – JPM
Not more than a small tidy-up of balance sheet required
• The optics of gearing in a market intolerant of it: CapitaMall Trust (CMT)’s gearing is the highest of the top four S-REITs at 43.3%. Whilst our review of CMT’s financials in an adverse but (in our view) plausible downside scenario indicates a high level of resilience in the
REIT’s credit position, a modest equity fund-raising of between 10-20% new units would push gearing down below 40% whilst a 1-for-3 entitlement offer would raise sufficient equity to lower gearing to 31%.
• Operating and financing conditions have changed: Whilst Singapore’s suburban retail property fundamentals have been resilient through recessions, CMT’s operating risk has risen with 28% of the portfolio in non-suburban retail property assets (by value). The trust has S$1.8billion of debt (56% of the total) maturing in 2011-2012, which is sufficiently distant but we believe a far-sighted CFO will want to keep those debt maturities in view in any re-configuration of the REIT’s liability profile. CMT’s 2013 convertible bonds are trading at a yield to 2011 put at approximately 13.5%, and skew the trust’s aggregate cost of capital. We estimate CMT’s current implied cost of equity at 12.1%.
• Sectoral re-capitalization to be the dominant price factor: We expect the S-REIT sector’s debt refinancing and re-capitalization, including CMT’s own initiatives, to be the most significant factor propelling the trust’s unit price in the next 6 months.
• Dec 09 price target of S$2.20/unit: Our new price target (previously S$2.78) is based on a DDM using an 8.1% discount rate. A 1-for-3 entitlement issue raising about S$551 million would lower our estimate of CMT’s NPV by an immaterial 4% due to the offsetting effects of reduced financial risk. Key risks to our price target and rating come from a worse than expected deterioration in operating fundamentals, or a prolonged capital markets disruption which prevent a resolution of the anomalous costs of equity and debt capital.
Budget 2008
From Budget 2008. The Key initiatives for REIT and Trust is as followed:
- Allow listed real estate investment trusts (REIT) and registered business trusts to claim input GST on business expenses
A-REIT – SGX
17 January 2008, Singapore – Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (“A-REIT”) has renewed and signed new leases (including expansions) amounting to a total net lettable area of 46,933 sqm for the three months ended 31 December 2007 (the “Period”). These leases represent 6.8% of the net lettable area of its multi-tenanted buildings(1) and an annualised rental income of S$11.1 million for A-REIT.
The overall portfolio occupancy rate increased to a record high of 98.7% as at 31 December 2007 compared to 96.1% a year ago. Occupancy rate for A-REIT’s multi-tenanted buildings has also increased to 97.0% at the end of the Period versus 96.2% as at 30 September 2007. Total new leases (including expansions) for the Period were 16,961 sqm, of which 28.7% was in Business and Science Parks, and 32.8% was in Hi-Tech Industrial properties. The remaining 38.6% was in the other two sectors – Light Industrial & Flatted Factories and Logistics & Distribution Centres.
A-REIT’s portfolio comprises 51% multi-tenanted buildings and 49% sale-and-leaseback properties based on portfolio value.
For more detail report, click here
Singapore Reits – DMG
Japan firm plans to list Reit in S’pore
Re-plus wants to list a real estate investment trust (Reit) that would include two Chinese office buildings worth at least US$400 million. Situated in Beijing, the buildings are the only overseas assets in Re-plus’s portfolio, which is valued at about 270 billion yen (S$3.4 billion).
According to a banker, The portfolio has not been finalised yet. They are in talks with several banks now, but the trust could come to the market early next year. Re-plus, valued by the market at US$482 million, already manages Re-plus Residential investment, a Reit based on rents collected from its apartments in Tokyo.
Bankers said that Re-plus wants to list its Reit in Singapore because Japanese-listed property trusts are not allowed to own foreign assets. Singapore’s Reit market – the third-largest in the Asia-Pacific after Australia and Japan – has grown to more than US$18 billion, boosted by trusts containing assets ranging from Indonesian hospitals to Chinese shopping malls.
CDL H-Reit – DMG
The acquisition is forecast to boost annualised 2007 distribution per unit (based on Q1 2007 results) by 8.9 per cent, from 7.10 cents to 7.73 cents. Vincent Yeo, CEO of M&C Reit Management Ltd, the manager of CDL H-Reit, said that assuming the acquisition of Novotel Clarke Quay is fully funded by debt, the trusts’ gearing ratio will increase from 35 per cent to 46 per cent. He said that while the trust is on the lookout for more hotel acquisitions in the Asia-Pacific – in countries like China, India, Philippines and Vietnam – Singapore still remains one of his favourite markets because of its growth potential and risk profile.
For Q1 2007, CDL Hospitality Trusts’ Singapore hotels achieved a 25.4 per cent year-on-year increase in revenue per available room (RevPar). ‘Based on the strong performance so far in the second quarter, the industry players expect a much higher year-on-year RevPar growth in Q2. And we expect that to be the same for the hotels in the CDL Hospitality Trusts.’
The acquisition of Novotel Clarke Quay will increase CDL Hospitality Trusts’ exposure to the strong Singapore hotel market, which is expected to benefit from continuing strong growth in visitor arrivals and minimal new hotel room supply this year and next.